With all things equal, draw odds is the percent chance you'll draw this tag as your first choice hunt. Depending on the state draw these odds represnt:
Last year the average draw odds for hunt 036-9 was 95.94%.
Quotas are the number of limited licenses up for grabs. Quotas are only set for limited license hunts. As you probably guessed, there are often different quotas for residents and nonresidents. Obviously, over-the-counter licenses are not shown in this graph.
Often state agencies do not report actual resident/nonresident quota breakdowns. They'll say that they will be determined at the time of the draw. In those cases, we'll try to calculate an estimated quota based on actual historical draw results.
Last year the total quota for hunt 036-9 was 50 licenses, and 42 licenses were reserved for residents.
Was the quota met in the draw, or is there a surplus of leftover tags? In popular units, there's rarely any surplus. It's worthy of note to mention that just because there may be a surplus, that doesn't mean that those licenses will be available to purchase as a leftover license.
Last year, there were 50 tags drawn, and there were 0 leftover tags (after the draw) available for hunt 036-9.
How much competition do you have? Let's face it, in many competitive units when you don't get your first choice, you're not getting a tag.
Last year, there were 59 hunters who put hunt 036-9 as their first choice.
In the past year, here's the breakdown of the number of points that applicants had prior to applying for hunt 036-9.
In some very popular units in states where preference points are utilized, there's a problem we call point creep. And unless you've already collected a bunch of points in that state, you're probably best to bypass these hunts. It can be quite nasty.
There is no mathematical difference in your chances of drawing whether your application is received during the first day of the application period or the last. However, applying early does allow the G&F time to check your application and return it to you or call you in the event you made an error. If you applied early, you will still have time to reapply with a correct application before the deadline date. Every year there are hunters who wait until the last minute, make a mistake and miss the drawing because there is not time to reapply.